One day, January 16, 2019, as Google World News highlights China sword-rattling … rising risks, markets react to China-US trade war, Taiwan tensions escalate, North Korea nuclear talks off, South China Sea maneuvers grow as a new arms race reverberates with next generation nukes, hypersonic weapons….
December 7, 2018 3:50 EST … Donald Trump, Rex Tillerson — Consider U.S. denial of climate change, oil / gas exploration, risks and reality. Recall that in 2011, Tillerson, former CEO of Exxon Mobil, completed an unprecedented oil / gas Arctic development deal with Russia’s Rosneft (see GreenPolicy360 / Arctic for details).
As the U.S. energy policy continues to focus on fossil fuels, we at Strategic Demands take a look at the data and consider crude oil proved reserves. It is an appropriate moment to consider the longer term, e.g., the longevity of the U.S. fracking upsurge… and consequences
Strategic policy and strategic ramifications, short-, mid-, and long-term. China warns U.S. to withdraw sanctions or ‘bear the consequences’
President Donald Trump announces via Twitter that he has ordered Mike Pompeo to cancel a planned trip to North Korea because there has not been “sufficient progress” in denuclearization talks so far. The president singles out China for not “helping the process”…
It’s on. After back and forth negotiations, a deadline passes and what is being described as a “trade war” commences. What sort of trade war? The market’s collective judgment so far? Day one, the global markets shrug. We consider the negotiating strategies, risks, costs, and ripple effects. Go…
Energy Priorities, Geo-politics & Fracking in the US. As OPEC’s latest meeting concludes, let’s take a snapshot of worldwide oil/gas. The US has gone to the top of the heap and is exerting its muscle as the US president pleads for lower energy prices. Next chess move is from China-Russia with their Eurasia strategy
The historic meet up between North Korea and the US produced a page and a half ‘agreement’. This released result was all the public has been given to date. Behind the scenes, the world is assured, much is in the works. New meetings are planned. In North Korea, a campaign of politics with posters is […]
The lies of the Iraq war and subsequent disaster now shift toward an Iran disaster. After listening this past week to Israel’s PM present his country’s official POV regarding Iran, although it veered widely from top U.S. security officials public statements and testimony before Congress, the U.S. president has decided
What’s an appropriate response to news of an unexpected meeting in Beijing and newest moves by the US president threatening trade war with China? The first shots in the trade war are now fired, global markets are responding, and the visit of N. Korea’s leader to meet the Chinese president signal a new asymmetrical conflict […]
Tom Nichols Makes His Case. Strategic Demands’ editor responds… Former US Defense chief, William Perry, weighs in… Negotiating horizon? Time to prep? Two months. Negotiating prep to date? No visible prep. Korean Ambassador? No US Ambassador. Nuclear weapons experts? Arms Control team? Questionable at best. Winging it? Admittedly. Other options? War. Nuclear war. Dead-Hand Disaster.
The U.S. needs oversight on presidential authority now. The unlimited power of the president to order nuclear use on any day at any moment for whatever reason this one person has, is an extreme and potentially cataclysmic authority. Now is the time for a sane nuclear launch system
As war drums beat, talk of war grows closer. Yesterday, we exchanged pre-publication messages with professor Tom Nichols over the issue of “preventive” versus “preemptive” war. We went further by asking how many Americans, who support a US attack on North Korea, even know the difference between preventive and preemptive war. A Trump-ordered first strike […]
The US nuclear arsenal should not be under the control of one person. No decision of one person should be able to initiate nuclear weapons conflict and, potentially, a humanity-ending nuclear war. The need to change a carryover of Mutually Assured Destruction doctrine of the Cold War is now. Now is not an overstatement
President Xi Jinping wrapped up an inaugural ‘world trade’ summit dedicated to his cornerstone diplomatic initiative for Chinese-style globalization with an invitation to world leaders to re-convene in 2019. The Eurasia and beyond infrastructure strategy moves forward with international agreements and system-changing investment
Failure to act warning by Sec of State Tillerson: “Failing to act now on the most pressing security issue in the world may bring catastrophic consequences.” In an earlier “Oval Office” Reuters interview, the president is quoted: “There is a chance that we could end up having a major, major conflict with North Korea”
At Mar-a-Lago in Florida, the US President and Chinese President Xi Jinping sit down for an exquisite dinner in a regal setting. Across the world in the Mediterranean sea, off the coast of Syria, missiles are launched on order. The US President eats and negotiates as another war escalation is about to be announced